Qatar mediates as US and Iran stay far apart on conditions for talksAbu Dhabi talks open as Trump prepares Ukraine for territorial lossSaudi pipeline attacked and dozens reported killed near Sanaa as Yemen war widensSteel plant blast in western Turkey kills at least 16Krakow gunman dies in hospital as Poland disputes motive and securityKirishi refinery burns as Russia hits Ukraine's grid and Dnipro bridgesFrance blames Iran's Revolutionary Guards for supermarket fridge hacksCOP31 opens in Antalya without US delegation as UN warns of record heatSand embankment collapse kills five as storm floods Gaza campsBrent falls to 10-week low as Trump plays down new Iran strikesTrump expects trilateral meeting with Xi and Putin at China summitAsian and European stocks rebound after AI selloff, but caution remainsFire in Taiyuan high-rise kills 14Nvidia opens board probe after CEO Huang admits affair with suspected Chinese agentHouse faces Hegseth impeachment vote as Trump shifts on deportationsChina extends tariff and export-control pauses on US as Shenzhen summit nearsSenegal boat sinking toll rises to at least 39 as Canaries declare migrant emergencyGreece recovers dead migrants off Crete as coast guard rescues more than 100 peopleLeaked Rosstat data suggests more than 400,000 Russians killed in UkraineANC posts worst local election result since 1994Norway's Statnett pauses new grid capacity for data centresFrance brings forward 1.6% minimum wage rise as unions call it insufficientParaguay raids ex-president Peña's mansion in Ueno Bank investigationMore than 50,000 displaced by deadly Ethiopia border clashesPressure grows on Egypt's transport minister after deadly train crashMerz threatens to block EU budget unless all members back Ukraine fundingNetanyahu and Eisenkot compete for coalition partners in IsraelUniCredit posts record profit and plans earlier Commerzbank-HVB mergerRace to succeed Lagarde at the ECB heats upEuropean power prices top €600 as wind output slumpsEbola trials start in Bunia as patients flee militant attackMexico arrests alleged senior Jalisco cartel leader 'R2'Novaya Gazeta closes, citing government clampdownKhor Mor gas field hit by renewed attacks in Iraqi KurdistanIsrael approves first 250 foreign troops for Gaza forcePope Leo presses Milei on economy as huge crowds gather in Buenos AiresOusted Bangladesh leader Hasina applies for new passport to return from exileChina's producer inflation hits four-year high as oil costs biteEU plans crackdown on addictive social media and AI chatbot features as Meta rolls out age checksCyprus leaders agree to open two new crossingsColombia's ombudsman warns of violence in southern Bolivar after army base attackAnthropic unveils new Fable and Mythos models as IPO waiting period expiresQatar mediates as US and Iran stay far apart on conditions for talksAbu Dhabi talks open as Trump prepares Ukraine for territorial lossSaudi pipeline attacked and dozens reported killed near Sanaa as Yemen war widensSteel plant blast in western Turkey kills at least 16Krakow gunman dies in hospital as Poland disputes motive and securityKirishi refinery burns as Russia hits Ukraine's grid and Dnipro bridgesFrance blames Iran's Revolutionary Guards for supermarket fridge hacksCOP31 opens in Antalya without US delegation as UN warns of record heatSand embankment collapse kills five as storm floods Gaza campsBrent falls to 10-week low as Trump plays down new Iran strikesTrump expects trilateral meeting with Xi and Putin at China summitAsian and European stocks rebound after AI selloff, but caution remainsFire in Taiyuan high-rise kills 14Nvidia opens board probe after CEO Huang admits affair with suspected Chinese agentHouse faces Hegseth impeachment vote as Trump shifts on deportationsChina extends tariff and export-control pauses on US as Shenzhen summit nearsSenegal boat sinking toll rises to at least 39 as Canaries declare migrant emergencyGreece recovers dead migrants off Crete as coast guard rescues more than 100 peopleLeaked Rosstat data suggests more than 400,000 Russians killed in UkraineANC posts worst local election result since 1994Norway's Statnett pauses new grid capacity for data centresFrance brings forward 1.6% minimum wage rise as unions call it insufficientParaguay raids ex-president Peña's mansion in Ueno Bank investigationMore than 50,000 displaced by deadly Ethiopia border clashesPressure grows on Egypt's transport minister after deadly train crashMerz threatens to block EU budget unless all members back Ukraine fundingNetanyahu and Eisenkot compete for coalition partners in IsraelUniCredit posts record profit and plans earlier Commerzbank-HVB mergerRace to succeed Lagarde at the ECB heats upEuropean power prices top €600 as wind output slumpsEbola trials start in Bunia as patients flee militant attackMexico arrests alleged senior Jalisco cartel leader 'R2'Novaya Gazeta closes, citing government clampdownKhor Mor gas field hit by renewed attacks in Iraqi KurdistanIsrael approves first 250 foreign troops for Gaza forcePope Leo presses Milei on economy as huge crowds gather in Buenos AiresOusted Bangladesh leader Hasina applies for new passport to return from exileChina's producer inflation hits four-year high as oil costs biteEU plans crackdown on addictive social media and AI chatbot features as Meta rolls out age checksCyprus leaders agree to open two new crossingsColombia's ombudsman warns of violence in southern Bolivar after army base attackAnthropic unveils new Fable and Mythos models as IPO waiting period expires
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Narrative thread · 46 events

Ukraine peace diplomacy

Symbolic image: Ukraine peace diplomacySymbolic image

Where things stand

Russia, Ukraine and the US opened talks in Abu Dhabi, with Europeans taking part. Trump says Ukraine will end up with a "little bit different shape", while a US official says both sides showed private flexibility on territory.

Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine began in February 2022. Ukraine and its Western backers stand against Russia, and various governments and mediators, including the US, have sought to broker talks to end the fighting.

Timeline in detail

Tuesday, 10 November 2026Geopolitics

Merz threatens to block EU budget unless all members back Ukraine funding

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz has threatened to block the EU's 2028-2034 budget unless all member states commit to long-term financial support for Ukraine, the Financial Times reported. Meduza, citing that report, names Hungary, Slovakia, Bulgaria and the Czech Republic as the holdouts.

Tuesday, 10 November 2026GeopoliticsLeaked Rosstat data suggests more than 400,000 Russians killed in Ukraine

Leaked Rosstat data suggests more than 400,000 Russians killed in Ukraine

Data taken in a cyberattack on Russia's statistics agency Rosstat suggests more than 400,000 Russians have died fighting in Ukraine, according to The Guardian, while Politika cites more than 450,000. Le Monde reports that Belarusian and Ukrainian hackers got into Rosstat's computers and that Bloomberg published the figures.

Tuesday, 10 November 2026GeopoliticsAbu Dhabi talks open as Trump prepares Ukraine for territorial loss

Abu Dhabi talks open as Trump prepares Ukraine for territorial loss

Russia, Ukraine and the US negotiate in Abu Dhabi on Tuesday and Wednesday. Trump says Ukraine will end up with a "little bit different shape".

FAZMeduzaLe Monde

Monday, 9 November 2026GeopoliticsEurope to join Abu Dhabi Ukraine talks as Trump signals border changes

Europe to join Abu Dhabi Ukraine talks as Trump signals border changes

France says Europeans will be at the US-mediated Ukraine talks in Abu Dhabi on Tuesday and Wednesday. Trump says ending the war could change Ukraine's borders.

HandelsblattLe MondeNikkei Asia

Sunday, 8 November 2026GeopoliticsRussia upgrades Abu Dhabi delegation as Zelensky warns of 'second Yalta'

Russia upgrades Abu Dhabi delegation as Zelensky warns of 'second Yalta'

Russia sends senior diplomats and officers to US-mediated talks with Ukraine on Tuesday and Wednesday, the first since February. Zelensky calls Trump's European security plan dangerous.

Jerusalem PostHandelsblattTASS

Saturday, 7 November 2026GeopoliticsTrump promises 'big, beautiful' Ukraine deal as Europe fears being sidelined

Trump promises 'big, beautiful' Ukraine deal as Europe fears being sidelined

Trump announced a sweeping agreement after meeting Putin's envoy Kirill Dmitriev, and Europeans fear exclusion. US-mediated Russia-Ukraine talks open in Abu Dhabi on 10 November.

Jerusalem PostHandelsblattMeduza

Friday, 6 November 2026EconomyTrump-Putin diesel deal falters as tankers divert

Trump-Putin diesel deal falters as tankers divert

Kpler analyst Matt Smith said two of three Russian diesel cargoes bound for the US were diverted, and the Financial Times also reported that tankers changed course. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov declined to comment, while Russian envoy Dmitriev said the vessels remained on course.

Friday, 6 November 2026GeopoliticsMelania Trump hosts Russians and Ukrainians as Europe seeks a voice

Melania Trump hosts Russians and Ukrainians as Europe seeks a voice

Melania Trump hosted Russian and Ukrainian officials at the White House on Thursday and urged a lasting truce before Abu Dhabi talks.

MeduzaSouth China Morning PostDaily Sabah

Thursday, 5 November 2026GeopoliticsMelania Trump's Oleshky mediation shapes Ukraine diplomacy ahead of Abu Dhabi talks

Melania Trump's Oleshky mediation shapes Ukraine diplomacy ahead of Abu Dhabi talks

Zelensky honoured Melania Trump with a state order for the Oleshky truce, and Moscow named its envoys for a meeting she is hosting. The Kremlin hopes Donald Trump keeps mediating after the Republican midterm defeat.

FAZLe MondeTASS

Wednesday, 4 November 2026GeopoliticsUS-brokered Russia-Ukraine talks set for Abu Dhabi as Europe seeks a role

US-brokered Russia-Ukraine talks set for Abu Dhabi as Europe seeks a role

The US, Russia and Ukraine will hold talks in Abu Dhabi on 10 and 11 November, US envoy Steve Witkoff announced. Zelensky and Merz used a Berlin meeting to demand a European role.

HandelsblattFAZ

Tuesday, 3 November 2026EconomyUS pushes Russian gas deliveries to Europe, Kremlin says transit not possible now

US pushes Russian gas deliveries to Europe, Kremlin says transit not possible now

The Wall Street Journal reports that Washington proposed letting Russia sell gas to Europe through an American intermediary, and that European officials firmly reject the idea. Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov said on Monday that it is hardly possible to talk about Russian gas transit to the EU now.

Tuesday, 3 November 2026GeopoliticsRussian bombs kill 18 at Zaporizhzhia aid site as Oleshky truce is disputed

Russian bombs kill 18 at Zaporizhzhia aid site as Oleshky truce is disputed

Russian bombs hit a school used for aid in Komyshuvakha, killing 18, Zelensky says. Kyiv and Moscow dispute how the Oleshky truce was used.

FAZMeduzaBloomberg

Monday, 2 November 2026GeopoliticsRussia detains teenager over Moscow park attack threat after US tip-off

Russia detains teenager over Moscow park attack threat after US tip-off

Russia's FSB says it detained a minor who posted a TikTok video threatening a crime in Moscow's Tsaritsyno park, while it was checking US intelligence on a possible attack in the capital. According to the FSB, events at the museum and park were cancelled and security was stepped up during the probe.

Monday, 2 November 2026EconomyUS reportedly pushes to restore Russian gas sales to Europe via Ukraine

US reportedly pushes to restore Russian gas sales to Europe via Ukraine

The Wall Street Journal reports in an exclusive that the United States is pushing to restore Russian gas sales to Europe via Ukraine. Reuters and Handelsblatt relayed the report on Monday, with Handelsblatt wording it cautiously (apparently).

Monday, 2 November 2026GeopoliticsOleshky truce expires as strikes continue

Oleshky truce expires as strikes continue

A six-day truce in Oleshky expired on Sunday evening after roughly 700 to 750 residents left. Russian strikes and Ukrainian attacks on energy sites continued.

FAZHandelsblattLe Monde

Sunday, 1 November 2026GeopoliticsOleshky evacuees reach Ukraine under truce as Russia hits power grid

Oleshky evacuees reach Ukraine under truce as Russia hits power grid

Hundreds of residents of Russian-held Oleshky reached Ukraine on Saturday via Belarus under a local truce. Elsewhere the war went on, with strikes on Ukraine's grid and on Russian refineries.

The GuardianJerusalem Post

Saturday, 31 October 2026GeopoliticsHundreds leave Oleshky under truce as Europe fears exclusion from talks

Hundreds leave Oleshky under truce as Europe fears exclusion from talks

Russia and Ukraine began evacuating occupied Oleshky on Friday under a local truce. Europeans fear being shut out of the coming talks.

Financial TimesFinancial TimesFAZMeduza

Friday, 30 October 2026GeopoliticsOleshky truce holds as Europe splits over Putin call

Oleshky truce holds as Europe splits over Putin call

A local ceasefire around Oleshky has held for over two days as an aid mission prepares. Finland and Norway's call with Putin has split the Nordic states.

The GuardianMeduzaFAZ

Thursday, 29 October 2026GeopoliticsOleshky truce holds as Trump pushes leaders' summit and Europe seeks a seat

Oleshky truce holds as Trump pushes leaders' summit and Europe seeks a seat

The local ceasefire around Oleshky was still being observed on Wednesday, with the evacuation expected within days. Trump says a meeting with Putin and Zelensky will be set up soon.

Financial TimesMeduzaMeduza

Wednesday, 28 October 2026GeopoliticsOleshky truce holds as Nordic leaders speak with Putin

Oleshky truce holds as Nordic leaders speak with Putin

A US-backed local ceasefire began around occupied Oleshky on Tuesday to evacuate civilians. Finland's and Norway's leaders also phoned Putin.

Financial TimesFinancial TimesFAZ

Tuesday, 27 October 2026GeopoliticsUkraine pushes to bring forward trilateral talks as Oleshky truce nears

Ukraine pushes to bring forward trilateral talks as Oleshky truce nears

Zelensky says peace talks with Russia and the US will resume and Kyiv wants them brought forward, while Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov says resuming them implies no restrictions on combat. Ahead of a local ceasefire around Oleshky (Alyoshki in Russian), Russia says Ukraine has repeatedly struck the town, and Russian Human Rights Commissioner Yana Lantratova rejects Kyiv's demand for forced evacuation of children.

Monday, 26 October 2026GeopoliticsTrilateral Ukraine talks planned for November as Oleshky truce nears

Trilateral Ukraine talks planned for November as Oleshky truce nears

Zelensky confirmed on Sunday that Russia, Ukraine and the US will meet in November. A local ceasefire in occupied Oleshky is due to begin on Tuesday.

TASSEl PaísJerusalem Post

Sunday, 25 October 2026GeopoliticsStarlink speeds restored in Ukraine as Musk accuses Kyiv of breaking terms

Starlink speeds restored in Ukraine as Musk accuses Kyiv of breaking terms

Ukraine says Starlink and Starshield are back at normal speeds after more than a week of throttling. Elon Musk says Ukraine's military violated Starlink's terms of service.

The GuardianJerusalem PostHandelsblatt

Saturday, 24 October 2026GeopoliticsOleshky ceasefire and prisoner swap precede planned Abu Dhabi talks

Oleshky ceasefire and prisoner swap precede planned Abu Dhabi talks

Russia and Ukraine agreed a local ceasefire to evacuate civilians from occupied Oleshky, which the White House says Melania Trump secured. Trilateral talks with the US are planned for early November.

Jerusalem PostMeduzaMeduza

Friday, 23 October 2026GeopoliticsTrilateral Ukraine talks eyed for November as Witkoff's Putin remark angers allies

Trilateral Ukraine talks eyed for November as Witkoff's Putin remark angers allies

Russia says it will resume talks with the US and Ukraine, possibly in Abu Dhabi, after Putin freed an American prisoner.

The GuardianFinancial TimesMeduza

Thursday, 22 October 2026GeopoliticsPutin frees US citizen and accepts trilateral Ukraine talks after Witkoff visit

Putin frees US citizen and accepts trilateral Ukraine talks after Witkoff visit

Putin received US envoy Steve Witkoff in St Petersburg on Wednesday and freed American Stephen Hubbard. The Kremlin says it is ready to resume trilateral talks with the US and Ukraine.

Jerusalem PostMeduzaMeduza

Wednesday, 21 October 2026GeopoliticsTrump says Russia behaved well and Ukraine gave nothing as rift with Kyiv widens

Trump says Russia behaved well and Ukraine gave nothing as rift with Kyiv widens

Trump said someone else should negotiate for Ukraine, while Zelensky accused Washington of withholding air-defence missiles. Rubio denied any political motive.

Jerusalem PostMeduzaLe Monde

Wednesday, 21 October 2026GeopoliticsOslo talks end without breakthrough before Witkoff's trip to Putin

Oslo talks end without breakthrough before Witkoff's trip to Putin

Ukraine, Finland, Norway and US envoy Steve Witkoff held talks in Oslo on Tuesday. Witkoff is due to take the ideas to Vladimir Putin in St Petersburg on Wednesday.

Financial TimesMeduzaSouth China Morning Post

Tuesday, 20 October 2026GeopoliticsPutin floats Trump-Xi summit on Ukraine as Trump-Zelensky rift deepens

Putin floats Trump-Xi summit on Ukraine as Trump-Zelensky rift deepens

Russia has proposed a three-way meeting with Trump and Xi in China next month, without Ukraine, the Wall Street Journal reported. Trump again accused Zelensky of not wanting peace.

Jerusalem PostHandelsblatt

Monday, 19 October 2026GeopoliticsRift between Trump and Zelensky widens after US waives Russia sanctions

Rift between Trump and Zelensky widens after US waives Russia sanctions

Zelensky says Washington is pushing Ukraine to capitulate, Bloomberg reports, after Trump waived Russia sanctions for up to 60 days. The US has resumed intelligence sharing with Kyiv.

Jerusalem PostHandelsblatt

Sunday, 18 October 2026GeopoliticsTrump waives Russia sanctions, Kyiv warns of reward for Moscow

Trump waives Russia sanctions, Kyiv warns of reward for Moscow

Trump suspended tariffs and sanctions on Russia under the Graham Act days before they took effect. Zelensky calls it a reward for Putin.

HandelsblattJerusalem PostJerusalem Post

Saturday, 17 October 2026GeopoliticsTrump rebukes Zelensky over refinery strikes as EU backs Kyiv

Trump rebukes Zelensky over refinery strikes as EU backs Kyiv

Trump attacked Zelensky on Friday over Ukraine's renewed strikes on Russian refineries, while EU leaders in Brussels backed Kyiv. Ukraine's military Starlink access was throttled.

FAZMeduza

Friday, 16 October 2026GeopoliticsStarshield restored after Kyiv blames politics for outage

Starshield restored after Kyiv blames politics for outage

Ukraine's military lost Starshield connectivity on moving platforms for about a day, and Kyiv says it gets no US warnings of Russian missile strikes. Washington and Musk each deny responsibility.

HandelsblattMeduzaJerusalem Post

Friday, 16 October 2026GeopoliticsUkraine resumes refinery strikes after pause under US energy truce

Ukraine resumes refinery strikes after pause under US energy truce

Zelensky said Ukraine will again attack Russian refineries, and drones set the Ryazan refinery on fire on Thursday. Moscow accuses Kyiv of undermining US peace efforts.

Jerusalem PostMeduzaHandelsblatt

Thursday, 15 October 2026GeopoliticsKyiv says Starlink curbs and missing US warnings signal a political turn

Kyiv says Starlink curbs and missing US warnings signal a political turn

SpaceX restricted military Starlink service in Ukraine without warning, Kyiv says, disrupting drone missions. Zelensky says Trump has taken a side that is not Ukraine's.

Jerusalem PostMeduzaMeduza

Thursday, 15 October 2026GeopoliticsRussia strikes Kyiv's power plants despite energy truce; Ukraine hits Russian data centres

Russia strikes Kyiv's power plants despite energy truce; Ukraine hits Russian data centres

Russian strikes left at least 600,000 Ukrainians without power, days after Trump announced an energy truce. Ukrainian drones hit a Sberbank data centre.

MeduzaHandelsblattMeduza

Wednesday, 14 October 2026GeopoliticsUS and Europe reportedly draft four-point Ukraine plan

US and Europe reportedly draft four-point Ukraine plan

A newspaper cited by TASS reports that the US and Europe are drafting a four-point plan to settle the Ukraine conflict, which a US official said would include Russia's proposal for an economic and security deal with Europe. Senior Russian diplomat Sergey Ryabkov said on Tuesday that no agreement on a trilateral meeting has been reached so far.

Wednesday, 14 October 2026GeopoliticsKyiv reports no allied warning of missile strike as Russia hits Kharkiv

Kyiv reports no allied warning of missile strike as Russia hits Kharkiv

Zelensky said on Tuesday that Ukraine received no partner warning before a Russian ballistic missile strike on Kyiv. Ukraine in turn sent over 400 drones toward Moscow.

Financial TimesMeduzaMeduza

Tuesday, 13 October 2026GeopoliticsKremlin rejects 60-day truce as strikes go on after Trump's energy ceasefire claim

Kremlin rejects 60-day truce as strikes go on after Trump's energy ceasefire claim

Trump announced an energy ceasefire on Sunday that caught Kyiv unaware, and Russian strikes on Ukrainian energy sites continued. On Monday the Kremlin rejected Zelensky's 60-day ceasefire idea.

Financial TimesMeduzaJerusalem Post

Monday, 12 October 2026GeopoliticsKyiv reports Russian strike on energy site after Trump announces energy ceasefire

Kyiv reports Russian strike on energy site after Trump announces energy ceasefire

Trump said on Sunday that Russia and Ukraine had agreed to halt strikes on energy infrastructure immediately. Zelensky called it news to him, and Moscow has not commented.

Nikkei AsiaJerusalem PostHandelsblatt

Monday, 12 October 2026GeopoliticsTrump calls for new Ukrainian president as Kyiv and Europe push back

Trump calls for new Ukrainian president as Kyiv and Europe push back

US President Donald Trump said on Saturday that Ukraine should get a new president. Kyiv rejected the call, and the Financial Times reports that Washington also threatens to block arms for Ukraine.

HandelsblattFinancial TimesFinancial Times

Sunday, 11 October 2026GeopoliticsTrump calls for new Ukrainian president after Putin diesel deal

Trump calls for new Ukrainian president after Putin diesel deal

Trump said on Saturday that Ukraine needs a new leader and must stop striking Russian refineries. Talks with Kyiv in Miami ended early.

FAZHandelsblattMeduza

Saturday, 10 October 2026GeopoliticsUkraine-US talks open in Florida as Kyiv's grid fails

Ukraine-US talks open in Florida as Kyiv's grid fails

Ukrainian and US negotiators met in Florida on Friday, Europeans invited, as Russian strikes left most of Kyiv without power.

MeduzaMeduzaLe Monde

Friday, 9 October 2026GeopoliticsRubio calls Ukraine war a stalemate as Kyiv's team heads to US

Rubio calls Ukraine war a stalemate as Kyiv's team heads to US

US Secretary of State Marco Rubio called the war in Ukraine a "strategic stalemate" and said prospects for a negotiated settlement are elusive, according to TASS and Reuters. Ukraine's negotiating team is due to visit the US on Friday and Saturday, while Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Ryabkov said Moscow currently has no plans to resume trilateral talks.

Thursday, 8 October 2026GeopoliticsNATO military committee visits Kyiv

NATO military committee visits Kyiv

The full NATO military committee, with representatives of all 32 member states, visited Kyiv on Tuesday, its first such visit in eight years, according to Le Monde. Italian Admiral Giuseppe Cavo Dragone said the aim was to reaffirm unwavering support for Ukraine, as Russia intensifies strikes on the capital.

Tuesday, 6 October 2026GeopoliticsIndia seeks bigger role in Ukraine peace efforts as Lukoil asset sale enters US-Russia talks

India seeks bigger role in Ukraine peace efforts as Lukoil asset sale enters US-Russia talks

India's external affairs minister says India wants to be "a little bit more involved" in ending the Ukraine war and is engaging both sides on issues including shipping and reducing hostilities. The New York Times reports, citing sources, that the sale of Lukoil's foreign assets has become part of Russia-US talks; the Kremlin's Dmitry Peskov declined to comment on the report.